The model likes the Dodgers to win the pennant and finish with the best record in baseball, while the Giants are the second-most likely team to win the pennant, barely edging out the Braves, who are likely to earn the second bye by virtue of winning their division with the second-best record among division winners. There just isnt enough talent around Reyes and Ramirez to make this a playoff-caliber lineup and that will prove costly over a full season. Losing Carlos Correa hurts, its why were not projecting the Astros to win the AL pennant, but theres a real gap between Houston and its competition in the division. Because of a below-average lineup, on its best days, the Marlins exciting rotation will be wasted. With Chris Bassitt, Jacob deGrom and Max Scherzer lined up . MLB 2022 win totals: Predicting every team's record for the new season. Here's who they think will rule the ninth inning in 2023. Corey Kluber is 36. Factoring in that advantage along with an electrifying Cardinals bullpen, elite defense and a sufficient lineup, we expect St. Louis in a Wild Card Game. It does not expect full seasons out of both Trout and Ohtani, who have not in their four years together each had seasons where they both appeared in at least 120 games. Kyle Tucker will now be seen as one of the offensive leaders, along with slugger Yordan Alvarez. I like the Dodgers to keep MLB's 100 . This offseason, they're doing their part to make sure they don't miss the wild card this time. Christian Yelich can only get better after . MLB. Case in point, Jon Lester had a 4.36 ERA compared to a 5.40 FIP in 12 starts last season after they acquired him and he's now retired. The Guardians did virtually nothing this winter, yet it wouldn't be shocking to see them finish second or third. Sign up to receive our daily Morning Lineup to stay in the know about the latest trending topics around Major League Baseball. Pair that with the injury concerns we have for multiple starters, its enough to put this team a tier behind the Blue Jays. FanGraphs Membership. Despite believing that the Astros are more likely to win the pennant, it sees the Rays as a slightly more likely team to win the World Series. But the top two teams in the NL are the same as last year's: the Dodgers and Giants. by Handedness. The reigning World Series winners emerge as the favorites to win their division, with New York and Philadelphia appearing as strong contenders for wild cards. The reason the model likes the Cardinals over Milwaukee comes from the lack of trust in the Brewers' lineup, but if Willy Adames can repeat and Christian Yelich can bounce back somewhere closer to his 2019 levels, it could have just enough to support Milwaukee's tremendous pitching staff. However, the starting rotation just doesnt seem good enough in a long season. since the new labor deal came together on March 10, and his new 11-year, $182 million contract, seemingly have to prove themselves all over again, signing him to a seven-year, $182 million contract, Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. TeamRankings.com is not affiliated with the National Collegiate Athletic Association (NCAA) or March Madness Athletic Association, neither of which has supplied, reviewed, approved or endorsed the material on this site. Thats two huge additions, creating a lineup that should be among the NL leaders in home runs and RBI. 2022-23 English Premier League Arsenal vs. Bournemouth odds, picks: Predictions and best bets for Saturday's match from proven soccer expert . The odds of winning the pennant tell the story of just how locked down the field sees the 2022 playoff picture. But how does the model see it shaking out? The Major League Baseball awards are being finalized and various teams and players are being recognized for their performances this past season. It's a good, though not great, mix of position players. Cactus League. It might not matter right now, but it will cost them multiple games and potentially a playoff spot. EX. 3. 2018 ABC News Internet Ventures. After reaching the playoffs in 2020 and winning the AL Central with a 93-69 record the following year, the White Sox seemed poised to establish themselves as the divisions alpha dog in 2022. 2023 projected standings for major league baseball teams. But much of the rest of the lineup is unproven. The tip-off is set for 7:30 pm ET at Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse. The Blue Jays have constructed one of the most talented rosters in the AL, combining impressive young players such as Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Bo Bichette, Alejandro Kirk and Alek Manoah with veteran stars such as George Springer, Kevin Gausman and Matt Chapman, but the club has yet to break through as an AL powerhouse. As much as I love Shane McClanahan, he won't be carrying an ace workload. The Raysare that team that is constantly underloved by metrics and subsequently overperforms. Theyll be better than the Pittsburgh Pirates, but at least we can say we like the outlook for Pittsburghs future. For all the talk of Bichette and Guerrero Jr. being a dynamic infield presence, Xander Bogaerts and Rafael Devers also are a dangerous pair of bats from the left side of the infield. MLB games today with odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook. 2023 Playoff Odds, . March 1st, 2023. The biggest thing we like about the Rays is their wealth of pitching, a crucial factor in a season where arms will be tested more than ever. Across the division, the Twins had a perplexing winter. A young Tigers team will take another step forward . Read more . If Alex Bregman bounces back to what he's capable of, this should remain one of the highest-scoring offenses. Get the most up to date picture of the 2023 MLB season standings. Robbie Ray, the AL Cy Young winner, is also gone. The Minnesota Twins are an interesting case. Well give credit to the Chicago Cubs for not tearing everything down and beginning a total rebuild. And I'd win the under. Major League and Minor League Baseball data provided by Major League Baseball. The Los Angeles Dodgers might have lost the NL West in 2021, but theres no doubt this is the best team in the division entering the 2022 season. With Sean Manaea also gone, its even easier to predict fewer wins. Even after Gausman walked in free agency, San Francisco still returns Logan Webb, who is coming off a fantastic postseason, and bring back Anthony DeSclafani and Alex Wood. They have the best hitter of this generation in Mike Trout and the most talented player of all time in Shohei Ohtani, yet they continue to finish below .500. With the new campaign comes the intrigue over how it will turn out. Are the Braves even with the Mets, or way behind? Just when everyone thoughtthe Rockiesmight be headed toward a rebuild, they go out and make a big splash by signing Kris Bryant. Now that the season is over, the parade is done, and the dust has settled it is time to start looking at the 2022 season. MLB predictions 2022: Final standings, playoff projections, World Series odds for every team, Trading for Matt Chapman a better fit for rising Blue Jays than signing Freddie Freeman, Reds, As top list of five MLB fan bases experiencing post-lockout blues, Dodgers, Mets earn high marks; Yankees confuse, Seiya Suzuki has won over Cubs' clubhouse; next impression will come with bat, Cody Bellinger is struggling again, but Dodgers are so good that it might not matter. The model does not expect the Brewers will emerge back on top in 2022. Framber Valdez and Luis Garcia are two bright young arms in the rotation, while Verlander looks to return to his Cy Young-winning ways since coming back from Tommy John surgery. Coming off an 81-81 campaign, San Francisco had an offseason that can best be described as OK. The Giants had grand designs to add a superstar, but they came up short in the Judge sweepstakes and walked away from a deal with Carlos Correa, reportedly due to concerns about his physical. and that rotation is littered with question marks after Joe Musgrove. But that quickly changed, and the result was a disappointing 77-85 season. LAA Los Angeles Angels. The rotation is strong, especially after signing Carlos Rodn. The Cubsare engaging in a rebuild/reload to try and keep the team competition, while also building up its young core again. Offensively, there is room for improvement on this team in 2022. One of the more remarkable tidbits about last season was the Dodgers' total being 103.5, them hitting the over with room to spare and still not winning the NL West. ET. Everyone is just waiting forthe Angelsto finally live up to their potential. Is it as simple as looking at their negative-51 run differential, which carried with it and expected 76-86 record? And while the Rays have been able to work around stuff like this the last several years, I don't believe they have the same combination of depth and talent in the bullpen to absorb the starter workload shortfall. Ronald Acuna Jr. will be back before too long and joins a lineup that still features Ozzie Albies, Austin Riley, Dansby Swanson and Eddie Rosario. The bullpen and rotation are stronger than last season and the lineup will be productive. Chicago White Sox. The lineup dips after Jose Ramirez, and even with the powerful bat of Franmil Reyes, Cleveland lacks true support for its star third baseman. Was Steven Matz's 2021 season a real change or is he more the guy who was well below average from 2017-20? The NL Central has not had a team repeat as division winner since the Cubs repeated in first place in 2016 and 2017. FIVE BIG QUESTIONS:AL East | AL Central | AL WestNL East | NL Central | NL West. But just who will it be that claims the Commissioner's Trophy at the end of the year? CBS Sports is a registered trademark of CBS Broadcasting Inc. Commissioner.com is a registered trademark of CBS Interactive Inc. site: media | arena: mlb | pageType: stories | Acquiring Sonny Gray improves the rotation, but it could still use a front-line starter. Watch out, Milwaukee is a darkhorse World Series threat. 2 starter acquired before being more optimistic with our MLB predictions. The 2022 Major League Baseball season is nearly upon us. But ZiPS doesnt see it that way, and neither does PECOTA. Below are the picks and predictions made by The Sporting News' model for how the 2022 MLB season is going to unfold. After winning 99 games in 2022, the Yankees were able to re-sign Aaron Judge and Anthony Rizzo in free agency, and they inked All-Star lefty Carlos Rodnto a six-year contract. 7. But after an offseason spent filling out their roster with solid role players, ZiPS and PECOTA both think they have a good chance to break their ignominious drought in 2023. As for the Cubs, neither system likes their postseason chances despite the signings of Swanson, Cody Bellinger, Jameson Taillon, Trey Mancini and Eric Hosmer. But there they are with an 88-74 projection from ZiPS, just three games behind the mighty Dodgers and Padres. The deepest lineup in baseball got deeper when it signed Freddie Freeman to help offset the loss of Seager. With considerable improvement expected from Ronald Acua Jr. and Ozzie Albies, ZiPS thinks Atlanta is in good shape, projecting the club for another tie with the Mets at 94 wins apiece. The amount of money the Mets have dished out is absurd. Three got there in both 2018 and 2017. The Braves, on the other hand, werent a major player in free agency. The AL East is the best division in baseball, and it doesn't take a model to know that. The team has pieces that will help it win games, with Frankie Montas at the front of that rotation and top prospect Cristian Pache immediately slotting into the outfield with Ramon Laureano. While Cleveland missed the playoffs last year, they also have finished no lower than third in the AL Central since 2012. Way-Too-Early 2022 MLB Predictions. While Atlanta lost longtime franchise fixture Freddie Freeman, it replaced him with Matt Olson from the A's, who should be able to more than match the power output of the former MVP. The injury to Jacob deGrom is a major blow to the Mets' chances of winning the division, but if he's healthy once he comes back from his shoulder injury, New York would look like one of the best teams in the NL. MORE:Trading for Matt Chapman a better fit for rising Blue Jays than signing Freddie Freeman. With that said, adding Chris Archer is a nice low-risk, high-reward move that should add more stability to Minnesotas pitching staff. All rights reserved. After signing Corey Seager, Marcus Semien and Jon Gray for a combined $556 million in 2021, the Rangers inked Jacob deGrom, Andrew Heaney, Nathan Eovaldi and Martn Prez and traded for Jake Odorizzi this offseason. The Blue Jays will, once again, be one of the best fourth-place finishers since MLB went to the six-division format in 1994. TEX Texas Rangers. From now on, all these projections will update every morning to reflect the latest . The . See how your team stacks up against the rest of Major League Baseball with league, division, and playoff standings. They battled through adversity and were able to outlast the Houston Astros en route to a world series trophy. Compared to the Brewers and Cardinals, the Cubs dont stack up and thats even after signing outfielder Seiya Suzuki. But after Los Angeles lost a number of key players and steered clear of this offseasons free-agent bonanza, the clubs grip on the division could be loosening. They've lost key names over the past several years from George Springer to Justin Verlander (for a season due to injury) and now, most recently, Correa. The results, Marcus Stroman being replaced by Max Scherzer and holes in the lineup being filled by Starling Marte, Mark Canha and Eduardo Escobar. Here are 10 predictions that go against general public sentiment, but I still think have a decent shot at happening. If the rookies can play up to their projections and immediately become impact talents, this could be an underrated team in 2022. Perhaps it would be a bit closer if two-time NL MVP Bryce Harper were healthy, but he underwent Tommy John surgery in November and might be out until July. You can do it! Standings. Projected Standings, Roster Management, Draft Results, Keeper Management; Coming early January 2023! From the starting rotation to the lineup, Los Angeles holds the advantages and its farm system is better. Matt Chapman is one of the best defensive players in the game and his bat should look better with the talent around it. The East looks like a potential power in the National League, as well as the American League. But even with Seager gone, Turner shifted from second to shortstop and Gavin Lux and Chris Taylor will occupy second base. Considering the randomness involved, predicting the yearly MLB saves leader might be as difficult as any stat in baseball. CLE Cleveland Guardians. 2. This section is showing information that is up to date as of the end of the 2022 MLB season. The Chicago White Sox can start looking at designs for their 2022 AL Central champions shirts and hats. Last Year's Record: 91-71 Over/Under: 92.5 The Blue Jays were just one game shy of making the postseason last year in a division that featured four teams winning more than 90 games. MLB predictions for the AL East are the most fun, theyll even vary on a weekly basis. But it's easy to see them beat those projections. Whenthe Padresmade the playoffs in the abbreviated 2020 season, many expected they'd take that next step in 2021 and be a true World Series contender. With the last few days of build up comes all kinds of predictions, picks, best bets and the like. But in this new season, expectations are once again high for them. For now, well keep the Yankees in the No. Calling up Gabriel Arias could help with that. Victor Robles still flashes big potential, but has yet to make everything click. Jesse Yomtov. Even after losing Carlos Rodon, the rotation is still be one of the game's best with Lucas Giolito, Lance Lynn and Dylan Cease at the front. Related: 2022 Boston Red Sox schedule, roster and predictions, Related: MLB trade rumors Latest MLB rumors entering July. 2022 Year to Date: 2023 Projected Rest of Season: 2023 Projected Full Season: Team G W L W% RDif RS/G RA/G G W L W% RDif RS/G Replacing set-up man Craig Kimbrel with outfielder A.J. The NL Central hasn't had a repeat champion since the Cubs in 2016-17, and PECOTA expects that trend to continue in 2023, giving the Brewers a two-game edge over the Cardinals. If Jack Flaherty is unavailable for a majority of the season, though, that significantly changes the Cardinals outcome. With Seattle, Los Angeles, and Texas each loading up on talent this offseason, will the Carlos Correa-less Astros . Vlad Guerrero Jr. ties Joe DiMaggio for the 2nd-most HR . We just saw that I like the Blue Jays for around 95 wins. Wed also feel comfortable projecting a Willson Contreras trade in our MLB predictions, coming in July. TeamRankings.com is solely responsible for this site but makes no guarantee about the accuracy or completeness of the information herein. Someone is going to have to take the crown away fromthe Astrosbefore anyone, even the model, would consider picking against them. CHW Chicago White Sox. We saw the Houston Astros add another division title to their collection last season despite the surprise surge from the Seattle Mariners. MORE:Reds, As top list of five MLB fan bases experiencing post-lockout blues. Trevor Story is out, but he had a down year anyway and Kris Bryant is in. The St. Louis Cardinals strengthened their rotation depth this offseason, signing Steven Matz. ZiPS projects both the Mariners and Angels for 85 wins, putting the two clubs in a tie for the third AL Wild Card spot behind the Blue Jays and Rays. We do like the Sean Manaea addition, it solidifies one of the best rotations in baseball. Copyright 2023 Sporting News Holdings Limited. The 2022 Major League Baseball season is almost here and Sportsnaut's MLB predictions offer projections for the standings, award winners and more.. MLB games today will offer daily predictions and the full schedule for the entire season from 2022 Opening Day to the World Series. Rather astounding. And I'll mention again that the Blue Jays were a wrecking crew in Rogers Centre after they went 22-22 in "home" games in Buffalo and Dunedin last year. But what the model really likes is the rotation. The model really likes the rotation with Steven Matz joining Adam Wainwright and Jack Flaherty, who could miss some time with a shoulder injury. As of now, this is the best team in the AL East. Major League Baseball's arduous 2021-22offseason featured a 99-day lockout that ultimately resulted in an abbreviated spring training and a delayed Opening Day. In fact, they lost their top free agent, shortstop Dansby Swanson, to the Cubs. It's always possible Aaron Nola gets back to ace level and Ranger Surez has all kinds of talent, possibly giving the Phillies a Big Three. The top of the rotation remains dominant with Zack Wheeler and Aaron Nola, and the biggest weakness the bullpen was improved with the signings of Brad Hand, Jeurys Familia and Corey Knebel. Key player: Luis Robert. Printed from TeamRankings.com - 2005-2023 Team Rankings, LLC. Major League Baseball's 2022 season has arrived. My hunch this year is they'll be less extreme and steadily work toward somewhere in the low-to-mid 80s in wins. All major league baseball data including pitch type, velocity, batted ball location, We also like the move to acquire both Jesse Winker and Eugenio Suarez. This is tough. Mookie Betts felt quiet in 2021, but he's still one of baseball's best at the dish. MLB insider Bob Nightengale examines if the fans will forgive league for ugly offseason. MLB, NBA, CBB, GOLF, NHL, HORSE RACING AND MORE - PLUS ADVANCED COMPUTER SIMULATIONS, WINNING . 6-keys: media/spln/mlb/reg/free/stories, at Wed be even higher on this team because of its exciting rotation, if not for the fact Phillys defense is the worst in baseball. The 2022 MLB season is finally here. Starting with the winners, there won't be many who will dispute that the White Sox should be the favorite to win the division. Seattle strengthened its young core of Jarred Kelenic and Julio Rodriguez by trading for Jesse Winker and Eugenio Suarez from Cincinnati and signing reigning Cy Young winner Robbie Ray. Top 2023 Gotham Stakes predictions One shocker: Demling is high on Lugan Knight, who is tied for third in the odds, at 6-1. Behind the Jays, it could go either way between the New York Yankees and Tampa Bay Rays. It should be a fourth consecutive last-place season for the Pirates, who hope Ke'Bryan Hayes bounces back and prospectOneil Cruz brings some excitement. PECOTA projects both the Twins and Guardians for 88 wins, with the White Sox at 78. Support FanGraphs. And the Cardinals were basically a .500 team last season, save for a 17-game winning streak in September. Sure enough, thats exactly what they did. Get the most up to date picture of the 2022 MLB season standings. I don't know why, though. Luis Robert is a darkhorse MVP candidate, Jose Abreu is consistent and there is even more All-Star talent (Eloy Jimenez, Yasmani Grandal, Tim Anderson). The moves made this offseason ensure this team will be competitive, maybe even enough to play in October under a 14-team playoff format. I'm counting on a huge year from Matt Chapman (as outlined in the preview) while the rotation has a full year of Jos Berros, a full year of Alek Manoah and newly-signed Kevin Gausman coming. The AL playoff picture will likely not come as a surprise. With the signing of Max Scherzer and the acquisition of Bassitt, the Mets' 1-2-3 punch, when healthy, is now deGrom, Scherzer and Bassitt, and that's before getting to Taijuan Walker and Carlos Carrasco. I took the Rays' under (it was 86) last year and got badly burned. AL EAST. Find the best projected stats of the 2023 MLB season and build the best Fantasy Baseball team. A lineup that already featured the reigning MVP in Bryce Harper added the dynamic bat of Nick Castellanos and left-handed slugger Kyle Schwarber. Edwin Diaz was a dominant closer in 2021, and figures again to be among the best relievers in 2022. I'm going to, once again, hammer the over on the highest total. It will all come down to how many IL stints the Angels stars have in 2022. 1:51. MLB Playoff Predictor (MLB Season Picker) lets you pick every game of the MLB Season via a season Schedule . Related: Get Paramount Plus today and watch live sports for an unbeatable price! The model doesn't think the signings make Texas a full-fledged contender just yet, but it sees this as a major step in the right direction. The rest of the AL Central is largely thinking about the future. Pollock is a net win, given Chicagos needs, but the Garrett Crochet injury (Tommy John surgery) is a huge blow. Zac Gallen and Luke Weaver look like they could front Arizona's rotation at some point, but for now, those two spots belong to the more experienced Merrill Kelly and Madison Bumgarner. 2022 Year to Date: 2023 Projected Rest of Season: 2023 Projected Full Season: Team G . Most of all, the Rockies will continue to flex their muscles in Coors Field, where they were 48-33 last season. NHL 2022-23 Stanley Cup playoff chances and projected standings. The biggest question mark for Los Angeles is undoubtedly in its rotation, where Walker Buehler will be the unquestioned ace after Scherzer left. The Tigers also signed a pair of top free agents in Javier Baez and Eduardo Rodriguez to provide some more established threats to the team. Ultimately, this is a total rebuild and the organization isnt thinking about the final MLB standings in 2022. While the signing of Carlos Correa and the trade for Sonny Gray will help, the rest of the team has a lot of question marks, particularly after Berrios was traded midseason last year and Donaldson was traded in the offseason. For anyone followingthe Reds, this has been a puzzling offseason. The Cardinals often get far too much from their starters than they should. Close. As for the Rays, the Wander Franco hype is real. The increase in the number of teams losing on purpose has left a lot more wins for the good teams to grab. Follow the American League and National League races here from USA TODAY. Let's take a look at each game with odds from DraftKings . Put yourself out there. Ultimately, this is a total rebuild and the organization isn't thinking about the final MLB standings in 2022. With the last few days of build up comes all kinds of predictions, picks, best bets and the like. First off, the Dodgers are the best team. Spring Training is in full swing, free agency is off the rails, and baseball is officially back. March 4, 2023 7:30 am EDT. To join our email list and get notified when we launch the 2023 MLB section. I like getting late in the signing process and just going offense by adding Kyle Schwarber and Nick Castellanos to Bryce Harper et al in the lineup, though. Were seeing the Texas Rangers and Oakland Athletics head in opposite directions. The Records are updated Live on the MLB Standings after each game finishes. College Basketball Week 17 Top 25 Predictions Note: Projected winners are listed in bold. A complete list of this year's voters: . The defense is terrible. Play-by-play data prior to 2002 was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted Andrew Benintendi showed some bounceback potential in 2021, and Adalberto Mondesi still looks explosive when healthy. The problem is so often health, and that is the concern the model has for the Angels. Despite employing Mike Trout and Shohei Ohtani, the Halos missed the playoffs for the eighth straight season in 2022. This article lays out all of our preseason MLB team ratings and projections for 2022, including our MLB projected standings, MLB postseason seed projections and various projection details such as final win-loss records, playoff chances, and World Series win odds. And during the postseason, that anything-can-happen dynamic only grows stronger, with MLB's new, expanded format only increasing the number of potential outcomes. Cleveland might be trending the wrong direction compared to most teams, but finishing last still feels like a bit of a stretch. Washington Nationals (88-74) The NL East is loaded, but any team anchored by Max Scherzer and Juan Soto can't be overlooked. The Mets committed nearly $500 million to free agents this offseason, re-signing Edwin Daz and Brandon Nimmo while also inking Justin Verlander, Kodai Senga and Jos Quintana to replace departed starters deGrom, Chris Bassitt and Taijuan Walker. 400. . Everyone should. Needless to say, our MLB predictions arent quite as high on the Boston Red Sox. There has been a lot going on in the AL West since the 2021 season came to an end, and the model expects the standings to turn out about as one might expect. Now that ZiPS and PECOTA have both released their projected standings for 2023 (ZiPS can be found here and here, and PECOTA here), here's a breakdown of some interesting points on which they agree, and where they differ. How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent.
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